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Trend Analysis and Comparative/Vertical Analysis

Key Takeaways:

  • Learn the practical methods for analyzing financial statements: trend, comparative, and common-size analysis.
  • Understand how to interpret changes in a firm's performance over time and compare financials between periods.
  • Apply analysis techniques, including step-by-step conversion of a balance sheet into common-size format.
Trend Analysis and Comparative/Vertical Analysis

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Let's break down the core techniques: Trend Analysis, Comparative Statements, and Common-size (Vertical) Analysis.

Trend Analysis

a. Percentage Method

Trend analysis lets us observe how key financial metrics like sales, expenses, assets, or liabilities which change over time. Rather than just glancing at raw figures, we calculate the percentage increase or decrease for each item year-on-year. This method provides clarity about growth rates and highlights emerging patterns.

Formula:
Percentage change = [(Current Year Value - Previous Year Value) / Previous Year Value] × 100

Let's say sales were ₹10 lakh last year and ₹12 lakh this year. The percentage increase is [(12,00,000 - 10,00,000) / 10,00,000] × 100 = 20%.

b. Index Numbers for Several Years

Using index numbers, we set a base year (often the earliest year under review) and express subsequent years as an index relative to this base. The base year is always 100, and other years show proportional change.

Formula:
Index for Year = (Current Year Value / Base Year Value) × 100

If sales in 2021 (base year) are ₹8 lakh, and sales in 2023 are ₹12 lakh, the index number for 2023 is (12,00,000 / 8,00,000) × 100 = 150. This means sales grew by 50% since the base year.

Trend analysis answers questions such as:
1. Are sales growing steadily?
2. Are expenses rising faster than revenue?
3. These insights guide business strategy and investment decisions.

Comparative Statements

a. Comparing Two Years’ Financials

Comparative statements present figures for two (or more) periods side-by-side, making trends and changes instantly visible. Both absolute and percentage changes are shown, so you can see not just how much a figure changed, but how significant that change is relative to the starting amount.

Item Year 1 (₹) Year 2 (₹) Absolute Change (₹) Percentage Change (%)
Sales 10,00,000 12,00,000 2,00,000 20
Cost of Goods Sold 7,00,000 8,40,000 1,40,000 20
Net Profit 1,00,000 1,20,000 20,000 20

This approach helps you pinpoint exactly which areas have improved and which need attention. It's indispensable for year-on-year performance reviews and for answering exam questions that require direct comparison between periods.

Common-Size Statements

a. Express as Percentage of Sales or Total Assets

Common-size (vertical) analysis transforms each item in a financial statement into a percentage of a key figure total sales for the income statement, total assets for the balance sheet. This method standardizes the data, making it easy to compare companies of different sizes or to track structural changes in a single firm over time.

On the income statement, every item (costs, profits, etc.) is expressed as a percentage of sales. On the balance sheet, assets, liabilities, and equity are expressed as percentages of total assets.

Example:

Consider the following sample balance sheet for ABC Ltd. (figures in ₹ '000):

Liabilities & Equity Amount (₹ '000)
Equity Share Capital 500
Reserves & Surplus 200
Long-Term Debt 300
Current Liabilities 100
Total 1,100
Assets Amount (₹ '000)
Fixed Assets 600
Investments 100
Current Assets 400
Total 1,100

To create the common-size balance sheet, calculate each item as a percentage of total assets (₹1,100 '000):

Liabilities & Equity Amount (₹ '000) % of Total Assets
Equity Share Capital 500 45.45
Reserves & Surplus 200 18.18
Long-Term Debt 300 27.27
Current Liabilities 100 9.09
Total 1,100 100
Assets Amount (₹ '000) % of Total Assets
Fixed Assets 600 54.55
Investments 100 9.09
Current Assets 400 36.36
Total 1,100 100

By seeing the percentages, you're able to quickly assess the firm's capital structure and asset allocation.
Is the company heavily reliant on debt?
Are current assets sufficient?
Common-size analysis makes these questions easy to answer.

Trend, Comparative, and Common-size analyses are very foundational tools for evaluating business health.



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